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Contributors
--- Please Select ---
Jason Giovannettone
Jacob Bruxer
Aaron Thompson
Thierry Faure
David Holtschlag
C. J. Hoard
David Stevenson
Spyros Beltaos
Frank H. Quinn
Arthur Schmidt
Nam Jeong Choi
Scott Banjavcic
Steven Daly
David Bennion
David Fay
Holly Kerslake
Tomasz Kolerski
Hung Tao Shen
Tom Morris
Jane Denny
David Foster
C. R. Worley
Barry Irwin
Bomanna G. Krishnappan
James Best
Jonathan Czuba
Kevin Oberg
Daniel Parsons
Jose Mier
Marcelo Garcia
Raph Moulton
Scott Thieme
Jennifer Waters
Xiaofeng Liu
Gary Parker
Chuck Southam
W. F. Baird & Associates
Ralph Pentland
Nannette Noorbakhsh
Thomas Croley
Tim Hunter
Taha Ouarda
Eghbal Ehsanzadeh
Hadiza Saley
Naveed Khaliq
Ousmane Seidou
Christian Charron
Deborah Lee
Rob Caldwell
Travis Dahl
Bryan Tolson
Chris Spence
Peter Blanken
Newell Hedstrom
Laura Fagherazzi
José Salas
Oli Sveinsson
Yonas Ghile
Paul Moody
Casey Brown
Vincent Fortin
DaNeil Deacu
Syd Peel
Yasir Kaheil
Hai Lin
Dorothée Charpentier
Erika Klyszejko
Ken Snelgrove
Frank Seglenieks
Murray MacKay
Carlo DeMarchi
Qiang Dai
Mary Mello
Brent Lofgren
Taesam Lee
Barbara Martel
Alain Pietroniro
Richard Thomas
Kimberly Shaffer
Environmental Consulting & Technology Inc.
Veritas Economic Consulting
Great Lakes Commission
Benedykt Dziegielewski
Mitchell Horrie
Richard Bartz
Pat Inch
Robert Sinclair
David Patton
Paul King-Fisher
Andrew Punkari
Steve Rose
Mark Lorie
David White
Alice Napoleon
Yin Fan
Peter Yee
William Werick
Frank Millerd
Ralph Moulton
Jonathan Brown
Paul Yu
David Wright
Dan McCole
Allan Douglas
Glenn Warren
Bill Boik
D'Arcy McKittrick
Christian Stewart
CDM-Smith
Geomorphic Solutions
Mike Shantz
Eric Tauriainen
R. Don Morris
Mark Dunning
Donielle Jordan
Neil MacDonald
D. Wiebe
Michael Davies
Jim Meeker
Allan Harris
Rob Foster
Valerie Brady
Dan Breneman
Patricia Chow-Fraser
Jon Midwood
Douglas Wilcox
Alan Steinman
Mary Ogdahl
Donald Uzarski
Matt Cooper
Amanda Fracz
Dennis Albert
Brent Murry
Scudder Mackey
Linda Mortsch
Susan Doka
Peter Deadman
Raymond Cabrera
Erin Gertzen
Charles K. Minns
Gerald Niemi
Robert Howe
Mark Bain
Ashley Moerke
Geoffrey Steinhart
Kristen Arend
Pariwate Varnakovida
Elaine Ruzycki
Rosemary Fanelli
Pam Hunt
Jan Ciborowski
Lucinda Johnson
Janet Keough
Joseph DePinto
Todd Redder
Dan Rucinski
John Hoehn
Daniel Ferreira
Jesus Morales
Danica Lefever
Craig Carlson
Saman Razavi
Masoud Asadzadeh
Douglas Brown
Michael Donahue
Wendy Leger
Jennifer Read
Richard Hibma
Judy Sullivan
Leslie Rich
Bonnie Fox
Anthony Eberhardt
Joanna Kidd
Jack Frost
William Merte
IUGLS
Melissa Kropfreiter
James Chandler
Ian Knack
Fengbin Huang
Dave Watkins
Genivar
P. Ryan Jackson
Peter Ashmore
John D. Lenters
Vincent Fortinc
H. Wilson
Janette Fooks
Don James
Mike Craymer
Joe Henton
Mike Piraszewski
David Conner
John Johnston
Todd Thompson
James Clark
Syed M. A. Moin
Yiping Guo
Joel Schmidt
Fred Dobbs
Adam Fox
Ted Yuzyk
Andrew Gronewold
Anne Clites
C.J. Hoard
Steve Blumer
Tom Weaver
Jeanette Fooks
Brian Pessah
Pat McCurry
Herman Goertz
John Koschik
Thomas Dankert
Paul Taylor
Phil Ross
Ben Lin
Marie Jose Dubois
Timothy Feather
Paul Villard
Jeff Doucette
Janet Keogh
Eugene Stakhiv
Matt McPherson
Topic
--- Please Select ---
Lake Superior Regulation
St. Clair River
Hydroclimate Information
Water Level Restoration
Multi-Lake Regulation
Adaptive Management
Recommendations
--- Please Select ---
Approve Lake Superior Plan 2012
Issue new Orders of Approval
Improve understanding of hydroclimatic processes & impacts
Apply adaptive management to address extremes
Establish Levels Advisory Board
Work with governments to fund and coordinate adaptive management
Multi-lake regulation should not be pursued
Remedial measures should not be taken in the St. Clair
Key Findings
--- Please Select ---
Future conditions are uncertain, so a new regulation plan must be robust
Plan 2012 will be more robust and provide important benefits compared to Plan 77A
Superior regulation has a small effect on Michigan-Huron levels
Increasing evaporation and precipitation are offsetting, except on Superior
Changes in levels may not be as extreme in the near-term as previously predicted
Nine decision criteria were used to evaluate regulation plans
Plan 2012 performs similar to Plan 77A under 20th century NBS
Plan 2012 helps Lake Superior during extreme dry conditions
Plan 2012 avoids serious impacts to Lake Sturgeon breeding habitat
Plan 2012 provides overall economic improvements
Plan 2012 flow changes will be smaller, benefiting hydropower
St. Marys River flows will be more natural under Plan 2012
Plan 2012 computer code is simpler and easier to manage
A new plan provides an opportunity to issue new Orders of Approval
Interests can adapt to historical range of levels; beyond this adaptive responses may be required
Restoration structures in the St. Clair are technically possible but costly
Restoring Michigan-Huron levels has both benefits and costs
Ecosystem impacts of restoring Michigan-Huron levels would be mixed
Institutional considerations of building new structures would be significant
Potential for multi-lake regulation to address extremes is limited
Adaptive management has an important role in addressing risk
Information and education are key to adaptive management
Adaptive management requires improved data, science, collaboration & integration
Adaptive management requires a modified governance structure
Adaptive management is relevant to other Great Lakes initiatives
Michigan-Huron to Erie head difference declined by 23 cm from 1963 to 2006
St. Clair River has changed, accounting for 7-14 cm of total head decline
Evidence suggests St. Clair erosion is not ongoing, but causes remain unknown
GIA accounts for 4-5 cm of total head decline
Hydroclimate accounts for 9-17 cm of total head decline
Lake levels are unpredictable
Tasks
--- Please Select ---
Plan Formulation & Evaluation
Defining the Limits of Regulation
Review of Orders of Approval
Water Uses Evaluation
Commercial Navigation Evaluation
Hydropower Evaluation
Ecosystems Evaluation
Coastal Zone Evaluation
Rec Boating and Tourism Evaluation
Contextual Narratives
Performance Indicators
Technical Work Group Summaries
Understanding the Water Balance
Assessing Reliability of Historical Data
Improved Data Collection and Monitoring
Hydrological Modelling
Assessing Climate Change Impacts
Water Supply Sequences
Forecasting
Risk Evaluation & Plausibility
Coping Zones
Adaptive Management
Multi-Lake Regulation
Restoration Analysis
Institutional Analysis
St. Clair River Hydraulics Analysis
Hydrodynamic Modelling
St. Clair River Sediment Regime Analysis
Sediment Modelling
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment Analysis
Hydroclimatic Patterns and Trends Analysis
Questions we Asked
--- Please Select ---
Can a regulation plan be designed to perform better than Plan 1977A?
What are the limits of regulation?
What are the historical NBS estimates & how have changes affected lake levels?
What impacts could climate variations have on regulation?
What impacts could climate variations have on levels?
What constitutes improved plan performance?
What are the main benefits of the new regulation plan?
Does the plan keep Superior between 182.76 and 183.86 m?
Does the plan balance levels of Superior and Michigan-Huron?
Does the plan lower the highest and raise the lowest Michigan-Huron levels?
Does the plan avoid extremely low Superior levels?
Does the plan reduce environmental impacts?
Does the plan minimize disproportionate losses?
Does the plan reduce shoreline protection costs?
Does the plan benefit commercial navigation?
Does the plan benefit hydropower?
What changes to IJC Orders are necessary?
How vulnerable are interest groups to extremes?
How plausible are high-risk events affecting the various interests?
Can Lake Superior regulation address extremes?
Can restoration of Michigan-Huron levels address extremes?
Can multi-lake regulation address extremes?
What is adaptive management's role in addressing extremes?
What are the elements of an effective adaptive management strategy?
What is the total head decline between Michigan-Huron and Erie?
Has St. Clair morphology changed since 1962, what initiated it, and when?
What's causing the declining head difference?
Has St. Clair conveyance changed, and if so, what were the causes?
How has GIA affected Michigan-Huron and Erie level relationship?
How has climate affected Michigan-Huron and Erie level relationship?
Issues
--- Please Select ---
Lake Superior Regulation Plan Development
Adaptive Management
Hydroclimate Conditions and Climate Change
Multi-Lake Regulation
Water Level Restoration
Economic Impacts
Ecosystem Health
Institutional and Governance Issues
St. Clair River Conveyance
St. Clair River Sediment Regime
Hydroclimate Impacts on Water Levels
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment
Extreme Conditions
Stakeholders
--- Please Select ---
Hydropower
Commercial Navigation
Ecosystem
Domestic, Municipal and Industrial Water Users
Recreational Boaters
Coastal Zone/Shoreline Property Owners
First Nations and Native Americans
Geographic Area
--- Please Select ---
Lake Superior
Lake Michigan
Lake Huron
Georgian Bay
Lake St. Clair
Lake Erie
Lake Ontario
St. Marys River
St. Clair River
Detroit River
Niagara River
St. Lawrence River
Search for the following document types:
Projects
Pages
Presentations
Reports
Data sets
Models
Coordinated Great Lakes Lake-Wide Monthly Mean Water Levels
Details
Coordinated lake-wide
monthly mean
water levels for the Great Lakes (1918-2007) from the Coordinating Committee on Great Lakes Basic Hydraulic and Hydrologic Data
Resources
CoordinatedLakeWideAverageWaterLevels_1918-2007.zip
Related Projects
Pre-1960 Parry Sound Water Levels
Huron and Erie Water Level Gauge Analysis
GIA Impacts on Huron - Erie Head Difference